Non-Oil GDP Share: 70.5% ▲ +9.5pp vs 2017 | QS Ranking — SQU: #334 ▲ ↑28 places | Fiscal Balance: +2.8% GDP ▲ 3rd surplus year | CPI Rank: 50th ▲ +20 places | Global Innovation Index: 69th ▲ +10 vs 2022 | Green H₂ Pipeline: $30B+ ▲ 2 new deals 2025 | Gross Public Debt: ~35% GDP ▲ ↓ from 44% | Digitalised Procedures: 2,680 ▲ of 2,869 target | Non-Oil GDP Share: 70.5% ▲ +9.5pp vs 2017 | QS Ranking — SQU: #334 ▲ ↑28 places | Fiscal Balance: +2.8% GDP ▲ 3rd surplus year | CPI Rank: 50th ▲ +20 places | Global Innovation Index: 69th ▲ +10 vs 2022 | Green H₂ Pipeline: $30B+ ▲ 2 new deals 2025 | Gross Public Debt: ~35% GDP ▲ ↓ from 44% | Digitalised Procedures: 2,680 ▲ of 2,869 target |

Vision 2040 Overall Scorecard

Composite Assessment

The Vision 2040 Overall Scorecard aggregates performance across all 12 national priorities to provide a single composite view of Oman’s transformation progress. As of Q4 2025, the composite score stands at 47/100, reflecting strong fiscal and governance progress offset by slower delivery in social development and economic diversification.

Priority-by-Priority Summary

PriorityScoreStatusTrend
Economic Diversification & Fiscal Sustainability52At RiskImproving
Labour Market & Employment41At RiskStable
Private Sector Development48On TrackImproving
Education & Research38BehindStable
Health & Wellbeing45On TrackImproving
Governance & Institutional Development58On TrackImproving
Legislative & Regulatory Framework55On TrackImproving
Environmental Sustainability42At RiskStable
Citizenship & National Identity51On TrackStable
Governorate Development39BehindStable
Economic Leadership & Competitiveness46At RiskImproving
Social Wellbeing & Protection44On TrackStable

Composite Score Methodology

The composite score is calculated using a weighted average of progress across all tracked KPIs within each priority. Weights reflect the relative strategic importance assigned by the Implementation Follow-up Unit (IFU) and are adjusted to account for data recency and reliability.

Cross-Priority Analysis

Strongest Performance

Governance and Institutional Reform remains the standout area, driven by the ministry restructuring, Basic Law amendments, and anti-corruption improvements. Fiscal sustainability has also performed well, with the deficit reduction from -15.3% to -2.1% of GDP representing one of the GCC’s most impressive consolidations.

Areas of Concern

Education and Research continues to lag, with PISA scores below OECD averages and university rankings improving slowly. Governorate Development faces structural challenges in directing investment and economic activity beyond Muscat.

Key Interdependencies

The scorecard reveals critical interdependencies between priorities. Labour market reform depends on education quality improvements. Private sector growth requires regulatory modernisation. Environmental sustainability intersects with the energy transition and tourism development.

Trend Analysis

Of the 12 priorities, 6 show improving trends, 5 are stable, and 1 (Labour Market) shows early signs of stagnation that require policy intervention. The overall trajectory is positive but below the pace required to meet 2040 targets across all priorities simultaneously.

Methodology Notes

Scores are normalised to a 0-100 scale where 0 represents the 2020 baseline and 100 represents full achievement of 2040 targets. A score of 47 at the 30% mark of the implementation period (2020-2040) suggests Oman is broadly on trajectory but with limited margin for slippage.

Individual Priority Scorecards